1 minute read
With inflation under control, the Fed should cut rates twice later this year.
7 minute read
Equity and fixed-income investors are responding differently to tariff and fiscal policy uncertainty.
5 minute read
Solid US economic data also helps as equities reverse their April freefall.
3 minute read
For now, Trump is 'just' insulting Fed Chair Powell, as the Treasury market has pushed back.
Import surge pushes first-quarter GDP into the red.
Labor market remains solid, despite tariff uncertainty.
Trump's policy reversals buoy markets.
Should investors focus on solid hard data or weak soft data?
Calculated well before the tariff announcement, the US added a robust 228,000 jobs in March.
4 minute read
Concern about Trump’s tariffs and sticky inflation seem to be deflating consumer confidence.
Fed stays in wait-and-see mode, but makes major changes to its forecast
6 minute read
Bessent preaches short-term pain for long-term gains.
Maybe the Fed’s not done cutting rates this year, after all.
Financial markets roiled by developments in D.C.
On the back of solid holiday retail sales, January's were dismal.
The rally broadens.
New year starts with hiring and wage growth.
Revisions are possible due to inventory and trade data.
Peak policy uncertainty.
Stocks playing catch-up with bond market sell-off.
Employment strength should keep Fed on the sidelines for some time.
2 minute read
Three things to watch in 2025.
As the Fed slows its pace, shoppers are increasing theirs.